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    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    Caution - Twists In Road & Detour Ahead


    By JGillman, Section News
    Posted on Tue Oct 05, 2010 at 09:32:21 AM EST
    Tags: Mary Beth Kelly, Justice Bob Young, Michigan, Supreme Court, Democrats, Money, Virg Bernero, Polling, Elections, Rick Snyder, Detour (all tags)

    And I am not talking about that cool little hole in the wall community in the Upper Peninsula.

    Four weeks out from the general election, and we may have a problem with a double digit lead that Rick Snyder has, over Virg Bernero.  Snyder's lead through Rasmussen as of a couple weeks ago was 13 points, and it is unlikely (barring a name and gender change along with a discovery he is a Canadian plant)  that Rick Snyder will drop below the 50 point mark.  Private polling commissioned by a political source shows the lead may have grown even more.  

    And it presents more of a problem for Republicans than Democrats.

    Insert record scratch here?

    ~ Below the fold we go... ~

    Politics often relies on resources.  Finite resources.  And much like any business that expects "bang for its buck," the Michigan Democrats are unlikely to continue funding something that doesn't work. (oh.. yeah.. remember its THEIR MONEY this time)  After spending $200,000.00 on advertising for ol' virg, the Michigan Dems look to be reconsidering their resource allocation:
    "A little over a week ago the TV ad activity for the Bernero campaign, which had been fast and furious in mid-September, slipped off the cliff. The word was that Bernero was out of money. His campaign hasn't made a buy since Sept. 22. A few days later the Michigan Democratic Party (MDP) stepped in with a $200,000 cable TV buy for Bernero. Then as the end of last week neared a second $200,000 MDP buy for Bernero was supposedly coming, but according to those watching in the opposing camp, it never happened."

    Well.. maybe they are saving all their pennies for a last minute buy and blitz?

    OR..  Closer margin top tier races are going to be getting the benefit of that spending instead.

    As we all know, a top tier sweep is a possibility in this election.  Its pretty much a forgone conclusion that Virg is a loser, Johnson appears to be strong against Benson, and Schuette is slightly ahead of Leyton.  Though the Secretary of State, and Attorney General contests are not as sure bets as the governor's, I have a suspicion that there will not be as much an effort by Brewer and company to pursue those.  He may realize Benson could be painted with the Fake Tea attempt, and her similarities with Jennifer Granholm may lose them the coveted SoS spot, and Leyton's failure to do jack about crime in Genessee will lead to a loss of the AG race as well.

    We should still expect those races to get a last minute push from the state Democrat party. However the REAL danger lies in our Judicial races.

    Good for us, internal polling shows Mary Beth Kelly and Justice Robert Young ahead. (in that order and marginally)  But because of the nature of judicial voting, it is something that can be affected more easily by late game political plays.

    Most folks don't know the judicial candidates so well.  And with the non partisan ballot characteristic of the judiciary, its hard sometimes to tell who is conservative, and likely to uphold the law, or who is an activist personality, with wont to legislate from the bench.  Some may know ONE, but two is tough, and THEN the "justice" tag by the name on the ballot becomes more important.

    And money properly allocated can be a game changer.

    And its unlikely more will be spent on Bernero.

    And the lefty Dems in Michigan  are not likely to take a full sweep sitting down.

    And it will be ugly before it is over..

    For this political detour perhaps its time we start to teach our friends how to drive.

    < Gay City | Slightly off topic, but still appropriate given our choices next month. >


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