Political News and Commentary with the Right Perspective. NAVIGATION
  • Front Page
  • News
  • Multimedia
  • Tags
  • RSS Feed


  • Advertise on RightMichigan.com


    NEWS TIPS!

    Get the RightMighigan.com toolbar!


    RightMichigan.com

    Buzz

    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    Closing the books on the recall trainwreck


    By Nick, Section News
    Posted on Tue May 27, 2008 at 01:08:41 PM EST
    Tags: (all tags)

    Where to start...

    We've covered the Andy Dillon recall effort from its inception and even though technically the battle isn't over it's a topic crying out for a little closure.

    First, the thirty-second recap...

    Andy Dillon is the Democrat Speaker of the House.

    Andy Dillon was the leading legislative player in the Dem effort to engineer the first government shutdown in Michigan history last fall.

    Andy Dillon rammed through over a billion dollars in tax hikes after the shutdown.

    Wayne County Taxpayers Association chair Rose Boegart called in Michigan Taxpayers Association boss and former Republican legislator Leon Drolet to assist in her efforts to recall the Speaker.

    Efforts were launched.

    MTA hired Natioal Ballot Access to assist the WCTA in signature gathering efforts.

    Democrats responded by sending paid House staffers into the district to engage in aggressive voter intimidation.

    Democrats refused to turn over time slips to Detroit area WDIV TV, all but proving they were playing politics on the taxpayers' dime.

    Democrats hired at least one convicted felon to follow petition gatherers to their homes and to scare away possible petition signers.  There was and is no record the individual has ever cast a ballot.

    The MTA accumulated and turned into the Secretary of State approximately 15,500 signatures, 11,300 of which the organization claimed to have validated.  Except, it looks like they weren't valid.

    Read on...

    Late Friday afternoon the Bureau of Elections rejected 7,515 of the signatures leaving only 8,224 on the books.  The minimum needed is 8,724.  That puts recall advocates 500 signatures short.  At least.  All indications are that once the BoE reached that 500 signature mark they just stopped checking.  There could be hundreds of additional invalid signatures.  Thousands.  

    That's the what.  Now, the why... where to start...

    We could have a macro discussion about the philosophical underpinnings of the recall process, about the appetite in-district to remove their representative who was and is the most powerful man in the legislature.  We could talk about MDP's voter intimidation and disenfranchisement strategies.  We could discuss the difference between grass and astro-turf.

    Instead I'm going to be pragmatic.  Nearly half of the recall petition signatures were tossed out because National Ballot Access did some Grade F low class sloppy work.  (NBA is the group that successfully gathered the requisite signatures to put the Michigan Civil Rights Initiative in front of voters in 2006, a gathering effort, it should be noted, that allowed circulators to be registered anywhere in Michigan.)

    Whenever a group endeavors to collect signatures and brings on petition circulators for an in-district effort there's one primary function that comes before anything else.  VERIFY your potential circulator lives in the district!  You check the drivers license, you check the voter registration card and you check the qualified voter file.  All three or none at all.  And if anything doesn't mesh you don't let that man or woman anywhere within ten feet of your petition forms because bad things might happen.

    I spent the weekend trying to track down Leon Drolet and we finally touched base early this morning.  He won't throw National Ballot Access under the proverbial bus... they're working right now to try to prove at least 500 of the discarded signatures were and are valid.  Me?  I don't have to watch my tongue... bus tires, meet the NBA... now, would someone please tell that Semi truck to rev it's engine and get over here to finish the job?  I'm certainly not an expert but I've got a little experience in the petition game.  These "professionals" weren't just sloppy, they were down right negligent.  

    I haven't reviewed the petitions personally but from what I've been told there are circulators from Detroit with their names all over them.  Detroit doesn't even rhyme with "Redford Township."  

    The most frustrating part about all of this is that the left has been screaming about astro-turf for months and darn it all if the carpet didn't fatally trip up the earnest and sincere efforts of thousands of concerned Michigan moms and dads who're struggling like never before to make ends meet thanks to Dillon's job killing legislative efforts.

    To hear NBA tell the story this isn't over.  They're working to verify 7%+ of the disqualified signatures and they've got until next week to present their arguments to the Secretary of State.  Of course the Dems and their consultants claim they've got thousands of additional complaints to file should it come to that.  The Michigan Taxpayers Association?  They're talking about a Supreme Court decision that once held a potential voter cannot be denied his other rights in the democratic process simply because he declines to register to vote.  The thinking is that the ruling, if applied in this instance, would allow X number of signatures to make their way back onto the valid side of the ledger.

    Which only begs the question... if there are X number of signatures that could be revalidated this way and X equals the number of signatures gathered by entirely unregistered circulators and X equals a number equal to or greater than 500 (sorry about the algebra) then does that mean NBA was so sloppy in their circulator recruitment efforts that they actually hired men and women who weren't even registered to vote?  Anywhere?  Period?

    It's either that or they believe the Supremes' ruling would revalidate every out-of-district-gathered signature period, even if the circulator was a registered voter.  

    Again, disclaimer, I'm not Constitutional expert... but that's just plain stupid.

    Follow that argument to it's logical conclusion... I'm not registered to vote in Kentucky but by that logic shouldn't I have the right to vote there?  Voting is, after all, a democratic activity separate from actual voter registration.  And hey, while we're at it, who needs registration?  It has zero impact over other democratic activities?  Cool.  My thirteen year old brother will be excited to vote in this year's Presidential election.

    The MTA would realistically have until primary ballots are printed to move their appeal through the courts.  I don't see it happening.

    For all intents and purposes the recall effort is dead in the water, the victim as much of internal "professional" mismanagement as of the Democrats' efforts to disenfranchise voters.  There'll be a few limbs flailing about over the next couple of weeks but don't mistake that with life.

    But that doesn't mean Andy Dillon is off the hook.  The man still faces a three-way primary challenge and what could be a tough battle in November.  And, bonus, taxpayers in Redford Township and across Wayne County interested in a change in Lansing's leadership have recourse together this time.  There aren't any laws against out-of-district primary or general election campaign activities.  Maybe the good people at National Ballot Access would find that sort of effort a little more to their liking.  And could recruit volunteers for free.  Heaven knows they ripped off Leon, Rose and a lot of good people in Redford Township.

    That said, at this point, if they offered to help for free I'd tell them to jump in the Detroit River.  Which, like a lot of their shoddily recruited circulators, isn't found anywhere in Andy Dillon's district.

    This one's over.  It's done.  Finished.  Hopefully folks accept that quickly because there's a lot of hope for progress and change across Michigan this fall, including Dillon's Wayne County district.  There's a time and a place for belly-aching and looking at the past.  But there's a time too for moving towards the future.  (That's approximately NOW, by the way...)

    < Previewing the Mackinac Policy Conference | Public Schools Beware >


    Share This: Digg! StumbleUpon del.icio.us reddit reddit


    Display: Sort:
    Gross Incompetence (none / 0) (#1)
    by Calhoun Kid on Tue May 27, 2008 at 02:06:41 PM EST
    This is probably needless to say, but if Leon Drolet's fails to even recall Dillon let alone the other dozen legislators that were targeted, he is finished politically in Michigan.  Blaming the circulators or their firm is passing the buck.  Michigan Taxpayers and Drolet should have been verifying the signatures DURING the collection process and should have immediately spotted a problem.

    It's a good political rule that you never attempt to recall someone unless you stand a fairly good chance of succeeding.  Not only have these threatened recalls destroyed the lasting historical strength of the 1983 recalls but they've done a lot more good, than harm, to the marginal Dems they have targeted.

    For these Democrats, their perceived 'victory' over a recall attempt and the debate that occured over their votes this past winter and spring now make their tax votes last year a settled issue at the polls in November.  It has also allowed these Democrats the opportunity to increase their fundraising both in their districts and in Lansing.  I know of one Dem that carries around her Tax Hike Hall of Shame profile from Right Michigan to make the case to lobbyists that she's under attack!

    To say that this is disappointing... (none / 0) (#2)
    by KG One on Tue May 27, 2008 at 02:27:43 PM EST
    ...is an understatement.

    I'll be a closet optimist on this one and hope that they're able to salvage something from this.

    I will say that I'm a bit disappointed that the SoS whipped out the electron microscope to go over the recall petitions.

    I'm also a tad skeptical that this didn't come from even higher than her office due to the inordinate amount of support that Dillon had received from rino's over the past few months.

    If I'm wrong in that regard, great! Prove me wrong.

    I'd love to see the SoS exercise the same amount of detailed investigations in other elections around Michigan.

    Looking into similar issues of people collecting petitions out of district, or even better yet...out of county, would go a long way in addressing that skepticism.

    Until then...

    For the Record MCRI used National Petition Managem (none / 0) (#6)
    by chetly on Tue May 27, 2008 at 04:29:08 PM EST
    Nick,

    For the record, National Ballot Access is different than what MCRI used, and the situation different.

    MCRI used a company called National Signature Management (NSM), owned by Alan Lindsay (to be distinguished from Lee Albright's NPM), who worked heavily in the term-limits movement. MCRI's Treasurer (myself) and Executive Director (Jen Gratz) had some oversight over NPM operations, knowing that MCRI signatures would be highly scrutinized.  NSM had on its staff one of the future co-founders of National Ballot Access (NBA), which is the person NBA sent to help Drolet out at the end of this drive (my understanding is that NBA was only involved toward the end, which might explain some of the failure modes you describe, but I know absolutely nothing of the MTA process and was not privvy to any details as I did not work for MTA, Leon, or anyone else involved in the process (I'm just a passionate observer of the process, as you are).

    National Ballot Access, being co-founded by the lead operational employee of National Signature Management (this person also worked for National *Petition* Management in 2004 and early 2006, owned by Lee Albright and the recognized as the industry leader), became Ward Connerly's main firm in the five states he's attempted in 2008.  NBA had (explainable) trouble in Oklahoma (the place where the Dem. Attorney General is trying to jail 2005 TABOR leaders for "conspiracy against the state" because a few out-of-state circulators slipped into their circulation effort), and unexplainable (meaning I simply don't know - its not a criticism) trouble in Missouri, although I believe they succeeded in Colorado and Nebraska and Arizona are still pending.

    Thus, let's not link NBA and MCRI.  Different legal entities - and while Leon and one of the operational signature managers were the same - the team had distinct differences.

    I think it's quite reasonable for an honest evaluation of what went wrong here, and it needs to be done -- although much of it privately.  And from what you've described here, it looks like things went wrong internally on this.  I think most signature-gathering needs a separate oversight mechanism that has the internal power to keep things honest. And I believe in honest signature gathering.


    Chetly Zarko
    Outside Lansing & Oakland Politics

    Leon is half right (none / 0) (#8)
    by chetly on Tue May 27, 2008 at 07:53:04 PM EST
    I know what Leon meant.  The co-founder of NBA was part of the NSM team - but if differences are important, and I think they might be, its worth noting them.

    On the other hand, I think you are very pre-mature in "throwing NBA under the bus" as quickly and roughly as you do.  There is more than a swan song left in the challenge and defense on this one.  Based on the initial submission and media statements that they believed they had 11,000 and submitted 14,000 (it begs the question of why they submitted the extra 3,000 unverified, but it could have been end of the drive time issues - but that's still alot as a percentage), I would have expected just under 10,000, maybe as few as 9,000 to survive if the drive were properly run.  A look at the Sec. of State initial estimate -- which is just an estimate aggregating all kinds of little technical issues which must individually be analyzed -- suggests 8,000 "good ones" with 4000 voter registration issues on signatures (not unexpected) and 2000 "circulator-level" challenges (where the voter apparently wanted to recall Dillon but a not verified resident obtained their signature, which may in fact present a Constitutional question but you're right that Leon should never have relied on that).  Add those back in and your at a 10,000 number that easily survives the "extra 800 duplicates" that Grebner is whining about at Michigan Liberal (that is, I wouldn't trust the other claims Grebner makes, because he has an incentive to inflate them to discourage a defense from proceeding, and he did the same thing with MCRI, joining the BAMN choir about Detroit signers with the added twist (true, albeit) that Detroit voter registration was abnormally rich in "dead voters", etc., something we should blame the system and Democratic machine for, not within MCRI's control).  

    And from what I've heard, the "fraud" challenges were thrown out in court today (no verification on that).  On top of that, there might actually be a "border registration" issue where their is a technical issue that the circulator might actually survive upon deeper review (Detroit and Redford don't rhyme, but they do border each other) -- that is, there might be people who were in the district but had Detroit addresses (most districts have a 1% post office overlap issues such as two sides of a street splitting between cities given the way cities are defined, even if the district is limited to certain cities, and that doesn't count people who have moved recently, etc.  -- small technical issues on a circulator can have larger percentage impacts since they represent hundreds of challenges at once) or any number of other similar technical issues.

    On the other hand, Leon and MTA's chances are as much hampered by politics ("There is no law. Only power, politics, and money"), and I'd say the odds are probably heavily against him for defending the signatures.  This is not because Brad Whitman (Director of Elections) and crew aren't among the most ethical bureaucrats out there -- its because Whitman and crew have Dillon breathing over their shoulders and this recall has the highest level of scrutiny subject to it, meaning that a certain presumption of evidence (presumption can shift several times in a closely contested case).  And its a recall process with a higher standard of legal scrutiny to start with.

    And that's not to say mistakes or problems didn't occur in collection (they always do) or management - or that the drive was ultimately managed correctly -- I simply don't know. And a post-mortem will be proper at some point - learning lessons from the past is always important. But I do think it is proper to let the process play out before rendering final judgment.


    Chetly Zarko
    Outside Lansing & Oakland Politics

    Display: Sort:

    Login

    Make a new account

    Username:
    Password:
    Tweet along with RightMichigan by
    following us on Twitter HERE!
    create account | faq | search